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Table 3 Verification: List of children whose defects spontaneously closed

From: Prediction of spontaneous closure of isolated ventricular septal defects in utero and postnatal life

ID

Predicted probability

Actual outcome

Time of SC

Birth weight (kg)

Defect diameter (mm)

01

0.2873

Closed

In gestation

3.1

2.7

02

0.3669

Closed

In gestation

3.4

2.9

03

0.1889

Closed

6 months

3.7

2.4

04

0.3133

Closed

3 months

3.15

2.6

05

0.1926

Closed

In gestation

4.25

2.7

06

0.1113

Closed

Neonatal

3.4

1.8

07

0.1454

Closed

3 months

3.75

2.2

08

0.2818

Closed

Neonatal

3.75

2.8

09

0.1033

Closed

Neonatal

4.1

2.1

10

0.2598

Closed

In gestation

4.1

2.9

11

0.5068

Closed

6 months

2.6

2.9

12

0.4700

Closed

In gestation

3

3

13

0.0619

Closed

In gestation

4.1

1.7

14

0.3049

Closed

6 month

3.4

2.7

15

0.1883

Closed

12 month

3.9

2.5

  1. SC spontaneous closure
  2. In the binary logistic regression, spontaneous closure is defined as 0, persisted defect is defined as 1, and predicted probability stands for the possibility of persisted defects
  3. The predicted possibilities of the patients whose defects closed spontaneously are all below 0.5 (except for patent No.11)